Analyses
Society
Can Sri Lanka Balance IMF Reforms with Relief for Its Citizens?
Maria Tavernini 19 November 2024
The sweeping majority secured by Sri Lankan President Anura Kumara Dissanayake’s leftist coalition in the snap parliamentary election on November 14 marks a major shift in the country’s electoral landscape. Cutting across ethnic and religious differences, Sri Lankans swept the National People’s Power (NPP) front to a landslide victory, granting Dissanayake’s alliance a total of 141 seats out of 225.
  • Trump Rally Jobs
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    Jeffry Frieden: Once Again, it’s the Economy, Stupid
    Sofia de Benedictis 13 November 2024
    One week ago, Donald Trump secured a resounding victory over opponent Kamala Harris in the 2024 US elections, primarily due to a country-wide shift to the right. Swing states like Georgia and Michigan that were previously blue, are now red, and urban areas – historically Democratic bastions – have shifted their favor considerably towards the Republican party. We asked Jeffry Frieden, Professor of International and Public Affairs and Political Science at Columbia University what was motivating voters and whether this rightward shift will mean for democratic values and whether Trump will be able to live up to his lofty election promises.  
  • The Enigma of a New German Coalition
    Lorenzo Monfregola 11 November 2024
    The German Ampel, the so-called Traffic Light government coalition, is now history. Its collapse came on November 6th, just hours after Donal Trump’s election victory across the ocean. Germans won’t be voting for their next government on September 28, 2025, as originally scheduled; instead, snap elections will take place by the end of March at the latest, potentially even sooner. This will be one of Germany’s rare early votes – the last was in 2005 – in a country where political stability is the norm, making government crises all the more disruptive.
  • Inside Trump’s Sweeping Comeback
    Matteo Muzio 8 November 2024
    Donald Trump’s unmitigated triumph in the 2024 presidential election has left American Democrats in a state of profound shock, possibly surpassing their dismay from his earlier 2016 win. Notably, Trump became the first Republican candidate to win even on a purely numerical level, meaning that if Democrats had succeeded in abolishing the Electoral College, he still would have emerged victorious.
  • How Caste and Religious Polarization is Weakening the Left’s Electoral Power in India
    Abhijan Choudhury 10 October 2024
    Once a formidable force in Indian politics, the Left has steadily declined over the past 15-20 years. It previously governed the states of West Bengal, Kerala, and Tripura, and maintained a significant presence in the national parliament. Today, it has lost two of those states and become a marginal player. In this year’s national elections, a combination of three Left parties won just eight seats out of 545 in the Lok Sabha, the popular chamber.
  • October 7, One Year on: Shia-Sunni Divisions Eclipse Arab Aversion to Israel
    Giancarlo Bosetti , Alessandra Tommasi 4 October 2024
    One year after the Hamas massacre on October 7th, the war has expanded into a regional conflict, involving Lebanon and later Iran. In Gaza, the death toll has reached nearly 42,000. Most of Hamas’ leadership – except for Yahya Sinwar – has been killed, as well as Hasan Nasrallah and much of Hezbollah’s leadership. Meanwhile, 97 Israeli hostages remain in Hamas’ hands, and violence in the West Bank has become increasingly frequent, with many analysts warning of a potential “Gaza-fication” of the area. Reset DOC reached Prof. Olivier Roy, Professor of Political Science at the European University Institute (Florence).
  • Tunisia Elections 2024: The Fake Reluctant Autocrat
    Ruth Hanau Santini 30 September 2024
    Since July 25, 2021, Tunisia has been in a state of self-coup. President Kais Saied, elected two years earlier, suspended parliament that summer, had the prime minister resign, and issued two presidential decrees that consolidated all executive powers in his hands – rather than sharing them with the prime minister, as outlined in the 2014 Constitution.
  • Far-Right Shaping Germany’s Future, Despite Brandenburg Election Setback
    Lorenzo Monfregola 24 September 2024
    In Germany, September dealt a harsh blow to Olaf Scholz’s Ampel, the “Traffic light” coalition of Social Democrats, Greens, and Liberals. Elections on September 1 in the eastern states of Thuringia and Saxony underscored the government’s deepening crisis. While the September 22 vote in Brandenburg brought a faint glimmer of hope, particularly for the SPD, it was far from a solid win for the Ampel. Nationwide polls continue to show strikingly low support for Scholz’s cabinet, raising doubts about its ability to hold together until the next national election, set for September 2025.
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